Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Sam Steel
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 49.2% vs Steel 50.2% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Steel leads 13-2 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 70.9%
Defensive zone
Steel 56.1%
Neutral zone
Steel 52.4%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Kotkaniemi
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
13
(15 meetings)
2
13
Kotkaniemi
Steel
Last 10: Kotkaniemi 2-8 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Kotkaniemi
Steel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
6
Kotkaniemi
Steel
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
2
6
Kotkaniemi
Steel
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (3,840)
50.5% (2,871)
-1.4%
Power Play
51.1% (350)
62.6% (179)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (35)
37.8% (246)
+7.9%
On power play, Steel has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,774).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Steel is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,067).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Steel
Home
49.7% (2,194)
50.0% (1,551)
Away
48.6% (2,031)
50.3% (1,745)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Steel
P1
49.8%
51.9%
P2
50.5%
49.5%
P3
47.2%
49.5%
OT
50.0%
41.9%
Final 5 min
49.5%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.2%
Steel
46.0%▼
48.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 03:08 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 10:15 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 15:01 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 12:14 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 08:15 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 02:16 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 13:42 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 09:35 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 01:49 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 09:29 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 18:09 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 04:46 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 02:04 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 04:44 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 02:21 | Neutral | Sam Steel |