Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Kotkaniemi wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 48.6% vs Steel 50.6% (-2.9%)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 68.7%
Defensive zone
Steel 59.2%
Neutral zone
Steel 55.1%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Kotkaniemi
Steel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (207)
52.5% (200)
-5.2%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
71.4% (7)
+28.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
40.0% (45)
-6.7%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Steel is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Steel
Home
46.5% (129)
49.5% (109)
Away
50.0% (84)
51.7% (143)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Steel
P1
51.3%
49.5%
P2
46.1%
47.5%
P3
45.9%
56.6%
Final 5 min
48.2%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.8%