Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Kotkaniemi wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 50.9% vs Steel 49.4% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 56.0%
Defensive zone
Steel 62.2%
Neutral zone
Steel 65.6%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 64.5%
35.5%
64.5%
Kotkaniemi
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Kotkaniemi
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Kotkaniemi
Steel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
0
2
Kotkaniemi
Steel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (309)
49.3% (383)
+0.5%
Power Play
64.5% (31)
59.1% (22)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
14.3% (7)
+35.7%
On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (213).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Steel is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Steel
Home
51.7% (203)
49.4% (180)
Away
50.4% (141)
49.1% (232)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Steel
P1
49.5%
51.9%
P2
50.4%
43.8%
P3
53.8%
52.6%
Final 5 min
55.1%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.2%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 02:04 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 04:44 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 02:21 | Neutral | Sam Steel |