Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 51.3% vs Steel 48.8% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 57.3%
Defensive zone
Steel 60.5%
Neutral zone
Steel 63.3%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Kotkaniemi
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Kotkaniemi
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
2
Kotkaniemi
Steel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Kotkaniemi
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (637)
49.5% (553)
+2.3%
Power Play
48.2% (56)
61.3% (31)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
30.6% (49)
+12.3%
On power play, Steel has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (472).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Steel is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (378).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Steel
Home
53.1% (339)
46.4% (347)
Away
49.9% (361)
51.4% (286)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Steel
P1
48.3%
52.1%
P2
55.0%
49.8%
P3
50.4%
45.2%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.4%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 09:29 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 18:09 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 04:46 | Neutral | Sam Steel |