Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Ek 46.4% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 91.2%
Defensive zone
Larkin 82.6%
Neutral zone
Larkin 82.6%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 89.4%
89.4%
10.6%
Larkin
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Larkin
Ek
Last 5: Larkin 5-0 Ek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
0
Larkin
Ek
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Ek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (1,228)
47.1% (482)
+5.8%
Power Play
63.1% (214)
50.0% (14)
+13.1%
Penalty Kill
55.2% (145)
29.5% (44)
+25.7%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +25.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Larkin is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,085).
Larkin shoots left. Ek is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Larkin
Ek
Home
55.8% (805)
48.4% (254)
Away
53.2% (782)
43.4% (286)
By Period
Larkin
Ek
P1
55.2%
44.8%
P2
53.3%
46.9%
P3
55.1%
45.3%
OT
51.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2019 | 3 | 01:56 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 2 | 10:29 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 2 | 05:32 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 1 | 18:53 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 14:33 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |