Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on defensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 52.6% vs Tavares 54.7% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 23-15 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 69.7%
Defensive zone
Miller 54.2%
Neutral zone
Tavares 55.7%
Result
John Tavares favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Miller
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
15
(38 meetings)
23
15
Miller
Tavares
Last 10: Miller 5-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
7
7
Miller
Tavares
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
9
5
Miller
Tavares
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
7
3
Miller
Tavares
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (432)
54.5% (692)
+0.4%
Power Play
23.1% (13)
59.1% (149)
-36.0%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (81)
54.5% (11)
-6.4%
On power play, Tavares has a +36.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Miller is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (362).
Miller shoots left. Tavares is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Home / Away
Miller
Tavares
Home
55.4% (294)
57.9% (404)
Away
50.0% (232)
52.9% (448)
By Period
Miller
Tavares
P1
47.5%
54.2%
P2
51.7%
55.1%
P3
60.5%
56.4%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
48.1%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.0%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 09:17 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 14:38 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 05:49 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 05:44 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 03:09 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 15:38 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 05:28 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 03:05 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 03:41 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 00:51 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 19:28 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 15:18 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 3 | 13:36 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 11:38 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 01:05 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 00:55 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 1 | 18:09 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 1 | 16:55 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 1 | 06:54 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 3 | 15:44 | Offensive | John Tavares |