Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Tavares wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs Zibanejad 52.2% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 62.8%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 73.9%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 57.6%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Tavares
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Tavares
Zibanejad
Last 10: Tavares 4-6 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
6
1
Tavares
Zibanejad
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
6
Tavares
Zibanejad
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
54.0% (955)
+6.9%
Power Play
60.4% (278)
55.6% (243)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
35.0% (140)
+12.6%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Tavares is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (511).
Tavares shoots left. Zibanejad is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,033).
Home / Away
Tavares
Zibanejad
Home
63.5% (684)
55.2% (656)
Away
57.6% (658)
49.6% (682)
By Period
Tavares
Zibanejad
P1
60.3%
56.3%
P2
60.4%
50.0%
P3
60.1%
51.2%
OT
92.3%
52.6%
Final 5 min
57.4%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2022 | 3 | 17:32 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 19, 2022 | 2 | 18:20 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 19, 2022 | 2 | 04:16 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 19, 2022 | 1 | 12:52 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 19, 2022 | 1 | 09:53 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 19, 2022 | 1 | 03:50 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 19:52 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 13:04 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 06:40 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 18, 2021 | OT | 03:44 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 1 | 17:24 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 1 | 13:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 1 | 13:49 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 1 | 01:09 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 1 | 00:32 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 1 | 00:25 | Offensive | John Tavares |