Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 62.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs Kadri 49.7% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 83.9%
Defensive zone
Tavares 74.3%
Neutral zone
Tavares 79.5%
Result
John Tavares favored at 81.7%
81.7%
18.3%
Tavares
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Tavares
Kadri
Last 6: Tavares 4-2 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
0
Tavares
Kadri
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
2
Tavares
Kadri
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
50.2% (849)
+10.7%
Power Play
60.4% (278)
50.6% (235)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
43.0% (93)
+4.6%
On even strength, Tavares has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Tavares shoots left. Kadri is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Home / Away
Tavares
Kadri
Home
63.5% (684)
48.5% (557)
Away
57.6% (658)
50.8% (620)
By Period
Tavares
Kadri
P1
60.3%
49.5%
P2
60.4%
51.3%
P3
60.1%
47.8%
OT
92.3%
63.2%
Final 5 min
57.4%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.6%
Kadri
48.0%▼
49.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 18:32 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 14:44 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 1 | 15:49 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |