Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Kadri 46.5% (+12.1%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 56.8%
Defensive zone
Tavares 61.2%
Neutral zone
Kadri 53.9%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Tavares
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Tavares
Kadri
Last 10: Tavares 6-4 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Tavares
Kadri
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
2
Tavares
Kadri
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
2
Tavares
Kadri
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (998)
45.7% (1,295)
+12.0%
Power Play
60.5% (271)
52.7% (146)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (39)
34.8% (23)
+21.6%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Tavares is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Tavares shoots left. Kadri is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,030).
Home / Away
Tavares
Kadri
Home
59.7% (610)
46.5% (725)
Away
57.0% (698)
46.0% (739)
By Period
Tavares
Kadri
P1
57.2%
47.2%
P2
58.5%
44.9%
P3
59.4%
46.3%
OT
46.7%
51.4%
Final 5 min
57.0%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2025 | 3 | 16:00 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 3 | 10:53 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 3 | 07:44 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 14:36 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 09:36 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 05:44 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 13:37 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 10:58 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 07:36 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |