Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 61.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.2% vs Kadri 47.6% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 52.8%
Defensive zone
Kadri 51.5%
Neutral zone
Tavares 52.8%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Tavares
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Tavares
Kadri
Last 6: Tavares 3-3 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
1
Tavares
Kadri
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
1
Tavares
Kadri
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Kadri
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (914)
47.4% (821)
+10.6%
Power Play
57.0% (235)
48.8% (86)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
38.5% (13)
+19.4%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Tavares is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (766).
Tavares shoots left. Kadri is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (595).
Home / Away
Tavares
Kadri
Home
57.8% (614)
46.6% (487)
Away
57.8% (554)
48.3% (433)
By Period
Tavares
Kadri
P1
58.0%
52.7%
P2
56.9%
50.2%
P3
58.4%
40.2%
OT
57.7%
44.4%
Final 5 min
57.8%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 16:27 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 05:15 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 15:35 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 13:33 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 13:15 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |