Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 58.7% vs Kadri 49.0% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 79.9%
Defensive zone
Tavares 90.6%
Neutral zone
Tavares 89.1%
Result
John Tavares favored at 88.3%
88.3%
11.7%
Tavares
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Tavares
Kadri
Last 6: Tavares 5-1 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Kadri
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
1
Tavares
Kadri
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Kadri
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (1,035)
47.7% (975)
+11.5%
Power Play
60.0% (310)
54.0% (226)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
55.6% (9)
-12.7%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Tavares shoots left. Kadri is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (794).
Home / Away
Tavares
Kadri
Home
57.5% (668)
48.3% (621)
Away
61.1% (684)
49.6% (589)
By Period
Tavares
Kadri
P1
58.0%
48.1%
P2
60.1%
48.9%
P3
61.0%
49.8%
OT
27.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.7%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 19:28 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 09:39 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 19:47 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 06:42 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 12:29 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 12:22 | Neutral | John Tavares |