Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 61.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Kadri 47.7% (+10.8%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 88.0%
Defensive zone
Tavares 88.9%
Neutral zone
Tavares 90.7%
Result
John Tavares favored at 89.3%
89.3%
10.7%
Tavares
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Tavares
Kadri
Last 10: Tavares 8-2 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
1
Tavares
Kadri
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
0
Tavares
Kadri
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
1
Tavares
Kadri
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (914)
46.2% (1,005)
+11.3%
Power Play
60.5% (309)
57.3% (199)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
26.7% (30)
+32.4%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +32.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Tavares is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Tavares shoots left. Kadri is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (793).
Home / Away
Tavares
Kadri
Home
61.0% (661)
47.4% (641)
Away
55.3% (584)
47.6% (593)
By Period
Tavares
Kadri
P1
58.6%
46.9%
P2
57.8%
49.5%
P3
58.4%
46.2%
OT
66.7%
42.9%
Final 5 min
63.4%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 15:58 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 09:40 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 3 | 19:54 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 3 | 11:20 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 3 | 11:07 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 2 | 17:48 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 1 | 09:13 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |