Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 55 meetings). Tavares wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Kadri 48.7% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 87-61 in 148 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 88.2%
Defensive zone
Tavares 73.9%
Neutral zone
Tavares 83.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 83.4%
83.4%
16.6%
Tavares
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
87
-
61
(148 meetings)
87
61
Tavares
Kadri
Last 10: Tavares 5-5 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
35
20
Tavares
Kadri
55 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
19
12
Tavares
Kadri
31 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
33
29
Tavares
Kadri
62 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
48.2% (12,510)
+5.8%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
53.0% (1,892)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
41.0% (293)
+9.6%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Tavares shoots left. Kadri is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,379).
Home / Away
Tavares
Kadri
Home
56.1% (10,503)
49.1% (7,467)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
48.1% (7,231)
By Period
Tavares
Kadri
P1
55.0%
49.2%
P2
54.1%
48.8%
P3
54.1%
48.0%
OT
55.9%
49.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 16:27 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 05:15 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 15:35 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 13:33 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 13:15 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 3 | 16:00 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 3 | 10:53 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 3 | 07:44 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 14:36 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 09:36 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 05:44 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 13:37 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 10:58 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 07:36 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 19:28 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 09:39 | Defensive | John Tavares |