Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs Bjugstad 53.8% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 53.0%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 88.8%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 72.4%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 88.8%
11.2%
88.8%
Tavares
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Tavares
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
2
Tavares
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
55.9% (245)
+5.0%
Power Play
60.4% (278)
0.0% (3)
+60.4%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
57.1% (7)
-9.5%
On power play, Tavares has a +60.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Tavares is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (511).
Tavares shoots left. Bjugstad is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Tavares
Bjugstad
Home
63.5% (684)
53.2% (111)
Away
57.6% (658)
56.9% (144)
By Period
Tavares
Bjugstad
P1
60.3%
44.6%
P2
60.4%
61.4%
P3
60.1%
61.3%
Final 5 min
57.4%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 14:26 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 08:41 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |