Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Bjugstad 48.0% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 91.9%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 61.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 78.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 75.8%
75.8%
24.2%
Tavares
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Tavares
Bjugstad
Last 10: Tavares 7-3 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
7
2
Tavares
Bjugstad
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
4
Tavares
Bjugstad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (914)
49.4% (867)
+8.1%
Power Play
60.5% (309)
56.0% (25)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
40.7% (216)
+18.4%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Tavares is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Tavares shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (796).
Home / Away
Tavares
Bjugstad
Home
61.0% (661)
46.5% (480)
Away
55.3% (584)
48.9% (628)
By Period
Tavares
Bjugstad
P1
58.6%
48.7%
P2
57.8%
45.6%
P3
58.4%
49.1%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
63.4%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 05:58 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 05:27 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 17:42 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 18:28 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 00:49 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 10:34 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 07:21 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 19:21 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 19:15 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 11:19 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 05:06 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 11:03 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 05:33 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 1 | 16:34 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 1 | 14:51 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |