Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Bjugstad 47.9% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 53.2%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 57.2%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 53.2%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Tavares
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Tavares
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Tavares
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (998)
46.7% (398)
+11.0%
Power Play
60.5% (271)
51.6% (31)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (39)
62.5% (8)
-6.1%
On even strength, Tavares has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Tavares is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (490).
Tavares shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Tavares
Bjugstad
Home
59.7% (610)
47.3% (220)
Away
57.0% (698)
47.5% (217)
By Period
Tavares
Bjugstad
P1
57.2%
46.1%
P2
58.5%
46.3%
P3
59.4%
50.4%
Final 5 min
57.0%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2024 | 2 | 19:02 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 24, 2024 | 1 | 18:10 | Neutral | John Tavares |