Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.2% vs Bjugstad 49.1% (+9.0%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 77.1%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 74.4%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 54.6%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Tavares
Bjugstad
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (914)
48.9% (280)
+9.1%
Power Play
57.0% (235)
50.0% (6)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
47.2% (36)
+10.7%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Tavares is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (402).
Tavares shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Tavares
Bjugstad
Home
57.8% (614)
48.4% (190)
Away
57.8% (554)
49.2% (132)
By Period
Tavares
Bjugstad
P1
58.0%
41.7%
P2
56.9%
56.6%
P3
58.4%
48.7%
OT
57.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.8%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.8%