Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs Schmaltz 48.4% (+12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 76.8%
Defensive zone
Tavares 83.5%
Neutral zone
Tavares 82.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 82.9%
82.9%
17.1%
Tavares
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Tavares
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Schmaltz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
42.9% (133)
+18.0%
Power Play
60.4% (278)
55.1% (89)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
47.1% (17)
+0.5%
On even strength, Tavares has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Tavares is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (511).
Tavares shoots left. Schmaltz is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (178).
Home / Away
Tavares
Schmaltz
Home
63.5% (684)
41.6% (125)
Away
57.6% (658)
54.4% (114)
By Period
Tavares
Schmaltz
P1
60.3%
40.0%
P2
60.4%
59.5%
P3
60.1%
45.0%
OT
92.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 18:55 | Defensive | John Tavares |