Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +18.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Schmaltz 45.0% (+18.3%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 53.9%
Defensive zone
Tavares 64.2%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 53.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Tavares
Schmaltz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (914)
37.7% (53)
+19.8%
Power Play
60.5% (309)
40.9% (44)
+19.6%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
66.7% (3)
-7.6%
On even strength, Tavares has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Tavares is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Tavares shoots left. Schmaltz is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (77).
Home / Away
Tavares
Schmaltz
Home
61.0% (661)
34.7% (49)
Away
55.3% (584)
45.1% (51)
By Period
Tavares
Schmaltz
P1
58.6%
25.9%
P2
57.8%
46.2%
P3
58.4%
42.1%
OT
66.7%
46.7%
Final 5 min
63.4%
34.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
40.0%