Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 62.7% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs Zacha 50.1% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 50.2%
Defensive zone
Zacha 57.0%
Neutral zone
Zacha 55.9%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Tavares
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Tavares
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
2
Tavares
Zacha
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
48.0% (296)
+12.9%
Power Play
60.4% (278)
61.0% (59)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
50.0% (22)
-2.4%
On even strength, Tavares has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Tavares shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (217).
Home / Away
Tavares
Zacha
Home
63.5% (684)
48.9% (223)
Away
57.6% (658)
51.9% (154)
By Period
Tavares
Zacha
P1
60.3%
47.9%
P2
60.4%
48.3%
P3
60.1%
54.3%
OT
92.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
57.4%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2022 | 3 | 16:46 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 3 | 13:38 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 3 | 13:24 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |