Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Tavares wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Zacha 52.8% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 64.3%
Defensive zone
Tavares 78.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 70.5%
Result
John Tavares favored at 69.6%
69.6%
30.4%
Tavares
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Tavares
Zacha
Last 10: Tavares 7-3 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
2
Tavares
Zacha
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
2
Tavares
Zacha
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
1
Tavares
Zacha
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (998)
54.1% (534)
+3.6%
Power Play
60.5% (271)
56.0% (109)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (39)
44.8% (96)
+11.6%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Tavares is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Tavares shoots left. Zacha is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Tavares
Zacha
Home
59.7% (610)
53.4% (406)
Away
57.0% (698)
52.9% (333)
By Period
Tavares
Zacha
P1
57.2%
56.8%
P2
58.5%
53.6%
P3
59.4%
49.2%
OT
46.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025 | OT | 01:29 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 12:41 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 07:06 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 05:17 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 13:59 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 02:39 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 11:06 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 03:43 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 09:16 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 06:06 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 18:09 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 03:30 | Offensive | John Tavares |