Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Tavares wins 61.0% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.2% vs Zacha 51.7% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 85.7%
Defensive zone
Tavares 51.6%
Neutral zone
Tavares 81.4%
Result
John Tavares favored at 78.1%
78.1%
21.9%
Tavares
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
7
(18 meetings)
11
7
Tavares
Zacha
Last 10: Tavares 7-3 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
7
0
Tavares
Zacha
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
3
Tavares
Zacha
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Tavares
Zacha
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (914)
53.3% (646)
+4.7%
Power Play
57.0% (235)
53.0% (100)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
38.9% (72)
+19.0%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Tavares is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (766).
Tavares shoots left. Zacha is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Home / Away
Tavares
Zacha
Home
57.8% (614)
51.7% (410)
Away
57.8% (554)
52.2% (408)
By Period
Tavares
Zacha
P1
58.0%
57.7%
P2
56.9%
48.9%
P3
58.4%
50.2%
OT
57.7%
35.7%
Final 5 min
57.8%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 19:46 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 19:39 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 19:23 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 09:48 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 07:05 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 06:51 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 03:32 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 17:59 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 09:36 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 09:23 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 14:06 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 11:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 03:40 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 07:42 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 00:13 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |