Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 61.6% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Zacha 46.5% (+13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 51.5%
Defensive zone
Tavares 55.8%
Neutral zone
Tavares 61.1%
Result
John Tavares favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Tavares
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Tavares
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Tavares
Zacha
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (914)
45.3% (247)
+12.2%
Power Play
60.5% (309)
58.1% (31)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
22.2% (18)
+36.9%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +36.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Tavares is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Tavares shoots left. Zacha is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
Tavares
Zacha
Home
61.0% (661)
39.7% (131)
Away
55.3% (584)
49.7% (165)
By Period
Tavares
Zacha
P1
58.6%
42.9%
P2
57.8%
46.4%
P3
58.4%
42.3%
OT
66.7%
87.5%
Final 5 min
63.4%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 11:27 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 11:49 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |