Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +25.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 62.7% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs Krebs 40.7% (+25.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 92.8%
Defensive zone
Tavares 84.9%
Neutral zone
Tavares 92.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 88.9%
88.9%
11.1%
Tavares
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Tavares
Krebs
Last 6: Tavares 5-1 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
0
Tavares
Krebs
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
1
Tavares
Krebs
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
33.3% (159)
+27.6%
Power Play
60.4% (278)
61.5% (13)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
0.0% (1)
+47.6%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +47.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Tavares shoots left. Krebs is 31.6% vs left-shot opponents (114).
Home / Away
Tavares
Krebs
Home
63.5% (684)
37.0% (81)
Away
57.6% (658)
33.7% (92)
By Period
Tavares
Krebs
P1
60.3%
39.0%
P2
60.4%
32.8%
P3
60.1%
33.9%
Final 5 min
57.4%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
35.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 09:52 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 04:09 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 12:24 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 12:17 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 17:29 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 2, 2022 | 3 | 11:48 | Neutral | John Tavares |