Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings). Tavares wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Krebs 45.9% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 25-7 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 98.6%
Defensive zone
Tavares 85.1%
Neutral zone
Tavares 95.4%
Result
John Tavares favored at 93.0%
93.0%
7.0%
Tavares
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
7
(32 meetings)
25
7
Tavares
Krebs
Last 10: Tavares 6-4 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
10
2
Tavares
Krebs
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
9
2
Tavares
Krebs
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
6
3
Tavares
Krebs
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
46.0% (2,159)
+8.0%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
52.5% (99)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
38.6% (171)
+12.0%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Tavares shoots left. Krebs is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,544).
Home / Away
Tavares
Krebs
Home
56.1% (10,503)
45.7% (1,182)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
45.8% (1,247)
By Period
Tavares
Krebs
P1
55.0%
45.9%
P2
54.1%
46.4%
P3
54.1%
44.8%
OT
55.9%
57.1%
Final 5 min
54.8%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 19:54 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 19:40 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 12:32 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 3 | 15:59 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 05:41 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 3 | 13:21 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 1 | 14:25 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 14:23 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 17:21 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 12:00 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 04:58 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 6, 2024 | OT | 02:31 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Mar 6, 2024 | 2 | 06:31 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 05:23 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 1 | 14:20 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 1 | 09:54 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 1 | 00:51 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 14:11 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 01:13 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 14:14 | Offensive | John Tavares |