Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Tavares wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Krebs 49.2% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 93.4%
Defensive zone
Tavares 71.0%
Neutral zone
Tavares 87.4%
Result
John Tavares favored at 85.0%
85.0%
15.0%
Tavares
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
0
(8 meetings)
8
0
Tavares
Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
5
0
Tavares
Krebs
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
0
Tavares
Krebs
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (998)
49.5% (560)
+8.2%
Power Play
60.5% (271)
52.6% (38)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (39)
43.3% (67)
+13.1%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Tavares is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Tavares shoots left. Krebs is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Tavares
Krebs
Home
59.7% (610)
49.4% (314)
Away
57.0% (698)
48.7% (351)
By Period
Tavares
Krebs
P1
57.2%
47.0%
P2
58.5%
50.5%
P3
59.4%
50.0%
OT
46.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.0%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 05:41 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 3 | 13:21 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 1 | 14:25 | Defensive | John Tavares |