Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 58.7% vs Krebs 46.8% (+13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 92.1%
Defensive zone
Tavares 55.5%
Neutral zone
Tavares 80.7%
Result
John Tavares favored at 82.0%
82.0%
18.0%
Tavares
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Tavares
Krebs
Last 7: Tavares 5-2 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
1
2
Tavares
Krebs
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Krebs
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
0
Tavares
Krebs
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (1,035)
47.2% (542)
+12.0%
Power Play
60.0% (310)
54.2% (24)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
31.3% (48)
+11.6%
On even strength, Tavares has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Tavares shoots left. Krebs is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Home / Away
Tavares
Krebs
Home
57.5% (668)
45.5% (312)
Away
61.1% (684)
47.0% (302)
By Period
Tavares
Krebs
P1
58.0%
46.6%
P2
60.1%
42.7%
P3
61.0%
48.6%
OT
27.8%
100.0%
Final 5 min
60.7%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 14:23 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 17:21 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 12:00 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 04:58 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 6, 2024 | OT | 02:31 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Mar 6, 2024 | 2 | 06:31 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 05:23 | Offensive | John Tavares |