Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Tavares wins 61.6% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Krebs 45.9% (+13.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 95.5%
Defensive zone
Tavares 71.5%
Neutral zone
Tavares 88.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 90.1%
90.1%
9.9%
Tavares
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Tavares
Krebs
Last 7: Tavares 6-1 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
0
Tavares
Krebs
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Krebs
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Krebs
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (914)
45.5% (501)
+12.0%
Power Play
60.5% (309)
50.0% (20)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
37.1% (35)
+22.0%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +22.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Tavares is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Tavares shoots left. Krebs is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (351).
Home / Away
Tavares
Krebs
Home
61.0% (661)
43.9% (285)
Away
55.3% (584)
46.5% (271)
By Period
Tavares
Krebs
P1
58.6%
45.4%
P2
57.8%
50.9%
P3
58.4%
39.7%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
63.4%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2023 | 1 | 14:20 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 1 | 09:54 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 1 | 00:51 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 14:11 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 01:13 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 14:14 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 04:25 | Neutral | John Tavares |