Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Krebs on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 61.0% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.2% vs Krebs 45.5% (+13.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krebs 51.2%
Defensive zone
Krebs 81.5%
Neutral zone
Krebs 62.8%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 76.9%
23.1%
76.9%
Tavares
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Tavares
Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
1
2
Tavares
Krebs
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
1
Tavares
Krebs
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (914)
44.6% (388)
+13.4%
Power Play
57.0% (235)
25.0% (4)
+32.0%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
45.0% (20)
+12.9%
On power play, Tavares has a +32.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Tavares is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (766).
Tavares shoots left. Krebs is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Tavares
Krebs
Home
57.8% (614)
46.8% (188)
Away
57.8% (554)
42.4% (224)
By Period
Tavares
Krebs
P1
58.0%
47.2%
P2
56.9%
44.9%
P3
58.4%
41.1%
OT
57.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.8%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 19:54 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 19:40 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 12:32 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 3 | 15:59 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |