Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 62.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs Nosek 53.4% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 79.2%
Defensive zone
Nosek 78.2%
Neutral zone
Nosek 53.9%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 66.0%
34.0%
66.0%
Tavares
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Tavares
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Tavares
Nosek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
55.1% (557)
+5.8%
Power Play
60.4% (278)
50.0% (4)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
47.7% (111)
-0.1%
On power play, Tavares has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Tavares shoots left. Nosek is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (392).
Home / Away
Tavares
Nosek
Home
63.5% (684)
52.3% (342)
Away
57.6% (658)
55.5% (330)
By Period
Tavares
Nosek
P1
60.3%
49.0%
P2
60.4%
53.8%
P3
60.1%
57.9%
Final 5 min
57.4%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2022 | 3 | 08:20 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 2 | 08:28 | Neutral | John Tavares |