Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 61.6% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Nosek 58.0% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 89.5%
Defensive zone
Nosek 89.5%
Neutral zone
Tavares 51.1%
Result
John Tavares favored at 70.3%
70.3%
29.7%
Tavares
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Tavares
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Nosek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (914)
59.7% (469)
-2.2%
Power Play
60.5% (309)
100.0% (4)
-39.5%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
56.5% (124)
+2.6%
On power play, Nosek has a +39.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Tavares is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Tavares shoots left. Nosek is 63.4% vs left-shot opponents (322).
Home / Away
Tavares
Nosek
Home
61.0% (661)
59.0% (295)
Away
55.3% (584)
59.6% (302)
By Period
Tavares
Nosek
P1
58.6%
56.3%
P2
57.8%
61.9%
P3
58.4%
59.2%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
63.4%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 15:19 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |