Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 61.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.2% vs Nosek 46.9% (+14.2%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 74.0%
Defensive zone
Nosek 64.9%
Neutral zone
Nosek 50.5%
Result
John Tavares favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Tavares
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (914)
48.5% (66)
+9.5%
Power Play
57.0% (235)
100.0% (1)
-43.0%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
29.6% (27)
+28.3%
On power play, Nosek has a +43.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Tavares is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (766).
Tavares shoots left. Nosek is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
Tavares
Nosek
Home
57.8% (614)
44.0% (25)
Away
57.8% (554)
43.5% (69)
By Period
Tavares
Nosek
P1
58.0%
46.4%
P2
56.9%
34.2%
P3
58.4%
53.6%
Final 5 min
57.8%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
43.6%