Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 61.5% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.8% vs Karlsson 54.7% (+1.1%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 64.2%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 70.8%
Neutral zone
Tavares 57.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Tavares
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
59.0% (691)
58.5% (135)
+0.5%
Power Play
57.2% (173)
80.0% (5)
-22.8%
Penalty Kill
63.6% (11)
44.4% (18)
+19.2%
On power play, Karlsson has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Tavares is 61.5% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Tavares shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Tavares
Karlsson
Home
58.0% (500)
63.7% (91)
Away
59.7% (375)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Tavares
Karlsson
P1
59.5%
54.4%
P2
58.5%
66.7%
P3
58.2%
51.9%
OT
60.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.7%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%