John Tavares vs William Karlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 30 meetings). Tavares wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Karlsson 51.3% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 48-36 in 84 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 81.2%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 56.1%
Neutral zone
Tavares 65.0%
Result
John Tavares favored at 62.5%
62.5%
37.5%
Tavares
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
48
-
36
(84 meetings)
48
36
Tavares
Karlsson
Last 10: Tavares 8-2 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
24
6
Tavares
Karlsson
30 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
15
18
Tavares
Karlsson
33 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
9
12
Tavares
Karlsson
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (15,885)
51.8% (7,849)
+2.2%
Power Play
56.5% (4,221)
54.8% (1,048)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (612)
44.2% (1,109)
+6.5%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,318).
Tavares shoots left. Karlsson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,551).
Home / Away
Tavares
Karlsson
Home
56.1% (10,389)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
52.7% (10,358)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Tavares
Karlsson
P1
55.1%
50.3%
P2
54.1%
51.3%
P3
54.0%
52.4%
OT
56.0%
44.9%
Final 5 min
54.7%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.4%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2024 | 1 | 19:24 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 18:38 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 16:40 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 14:51 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 14:10 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 08:58 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 02:20 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 1 | 07:23 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 15:57 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 14:02 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 06:25 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 1 | 16:35 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 3 | 18:24 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 3 | 16:49 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 2 | 17:28 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 2 | 12:02 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 2 | 03:16 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 2 | 00:40 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 2 | 00:36 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 1 | 16:46 | Defensive | John Tavares |