Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.8% vs 57.6%). Tavares wins 61.0% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.2% vs Karlsson 54.7% (+0.2%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 65.6%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 71.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 58.2%
Result
John Tavares favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Tavares
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (914)
58.5% (135)
-0.5%
Power Play
57.0% (235)
80.0% (5)
-23.0%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
44.4% (18)
+13.5%
On power play, Karlsson has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Tavares is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (766).
Tavares shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Tavares
Karlsson
Home
57.8% (614)
63.7% (91)
Away
57.8% (554)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Tavares
Karlsson
P1
58.0%
54.4%
P2
56.9%
66.7%
P3
58.4%
51.9%
OT
57.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.8%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%