Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (58.3% vs 58.1%). Tavares wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Karlsson 57.1% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 56.3%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 58.1%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 51.7%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Tavares
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Tavares
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (998)
58.6% (597)
-0.9%
Power Play
60.5% (271)
57.9% (57)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (39)
51.9% (52)
+4.5%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Tavares is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Tavares shoots left. Karlsson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Tavares
Karlsson
Home
59.7% (610)
59.6% (344)
Away
57.0% (698)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Tavares
Karlsson
P1
57.2%
53.1%
P2
58.5%
62.1%
P3
59.4%
60.1%
OT
46.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.0%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2024 | 1 | 19:24 | Offensive | John Tavares |