Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 46.2% vs Staal 58.4% (-13.7%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 69.7%
Defensive zone
Larkin 73.2%
Neutral zone
Larkin 75.2%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 73.4%
73.4%
26.6%
Larkin
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Larkin
Staal
Last 10: Larkin 4-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
2
Larkin
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
3
Larkin
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
4
Larkin
Staal
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (391)
59.1% (888)
-13.6%
Power Play
41.4% (29)
66.9% (121)
-25.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
52.6% (156)
-2.6%
On power play, Staal has a +25.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Larkin is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Larkin shoots left. Staal is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (735).
Home / Away
Larkin
Staal
Home
47.0% (181)
61.2% (600)
Away
44.2% (251)
56.9% (566)
By Period
Larkin
Staal
P1
42.7%
57.5%
P2
52.4%
60.1%
P3
41.8%
59.1%
OT
20.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
45.4%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2017 | 2 | 13:36 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 2 | 03:55 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 1 | 15:22 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 1 | 15:12 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 1 | 12:46 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 1 | 10:10 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 27, 2017 | 3 | 09:12 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 27, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 27, 2017 | 2 | 10:14 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 27, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 27, 2017 | 1 | 14:28 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 27, 2017 | 1 | 03:33 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 27, 2017 | 1 | 03:26 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |