Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Staal wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.8% vs Backlund 50.5% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 57.5%
Defensive zone
Backlund 56.0%
Neutral zone
Backlund 58.4%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Staal
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Staal
Backlund
Last 10: Staal 5-5 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
2
Staal
Backlund
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
3
Staal
Backlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
3
Staal
Backlund
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,041)
51.5% (983)
+7.4%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
49.4% (87)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (171)
45.3% (159)
+3.8%
On even strength, Staal has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Staal shoots left. Backlund is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Home / Away
Staal
Backlund
Home
59.0% (578)
51.6% (653)
Away
55.9% (707)
49.3% (576)
By Period
Staal
Backlund
P1
57.1%
50.0%
P2
60.9%
49.8%
P3
55.8%
51.7%
OT
20.8%
53.3%
Final 5 min
60.5%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2022 | 3 | 09:25 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 7, 2022 | 3 | 01:15 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 7, 2022 | 2 | 11:33 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 7, 2022 | 1 | 15:19 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 7, 2022 | 1 | 15:16 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 18:10 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 06:15 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 00:11 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 04:08 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 19:30 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 14:02 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 04:32 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |