Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Staal wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.8% vs Kadri 49.7% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 77.2%
Defensive zone
Kadri 69.8%
Neutral zone
Kadri 76.3%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 73.8%
26.2%
73.8%
Staal
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Staal
Kadri
Last 10: Staal 2-8 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
5
Staal
Kadri
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
3
Staal
Kadri
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,041)
50.2% (849)
+8.7%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
50.6% (235)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (171)
43.0% (93)
+6.1%
On even strength, Staal has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Staal shoots left. Kadri is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Home / Away
Staal
Kadri
Home
59.0% (578)
48.5% (557)
Away
55.9% (707)
50.8% (620)
By Period
Staal
Kadri
P1
57.1%
49.5%
P2
60.9%
51.3%
P3
55.8%
47.8%
OT
20.8%
63.2%
Final 5 min
60.5%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 17:09 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 11:10 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 00:29 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 06:53 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 06:40 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 05:02 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 15:10 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 09:02 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 05:47 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 02:37 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 00:17 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |