Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Kadri 47.7% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 73.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 77.1%
Neutral zone
Kadri 53.0%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 61.1%
38.9%
61.1%
Staal
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Staal
Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
2
Staal
Kadri
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Kadri
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
46.2% (1,005)
+10.1%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
57.3% (199)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
26.7% (30)
+25.4%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +25.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Staal shoots left. Kadri is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (793).
Home / Away
Staal
Kadri
Home
58.3% (705)
47.4% (641)
Away
53.3% (769)
47.6% (593)
By Period
Staal
Kadri
P1
54.5%
46.9%
P2
58.2%
49.5%
P3
54.1%
46.2%
OT
60.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
54.9%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 14:50 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 18:01 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 01:51 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 02:56 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |