Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Staal wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.6% vs Kadri 49.0% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 62.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 97.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 92.2%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 83.1%
83.1%
16.9%
Staal
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
3
(14 meetings)
11
3
Staal
Kadri
Last 10: Staal 8-2 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
1
Staal
Kadri
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
1
Staal
Kadri
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
4
1
Staal
Kadri
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,096)
47.7% (975)
+11.2%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
54.0% (226)
+14.4%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (222)
55.6% (9)
-3.8%
On power play, Staal has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Staal shoots left. Kadri is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (794).
Home / Away
Staal
Kadri
Home
57.0% (646)
48.3% (621)
Away
59.1% (729)
49.6% (589)
By Period
Staal
Kadri
P1
55.9%
48.1%
P2
55.4%
48.9%
P3
62.0%
49.8%
OT
70.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 14:02 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 13:49 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 12:38 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 09:09 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 16:08 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 16:02 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 07:41 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 03:42 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 15:49 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 12:24 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 12:12 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |