Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.2% vs Kadri 46.5% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 67.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 85.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 65.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Staal
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Staal
Kadri
Last 10: Staal 4-6 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
6
Staal
Kadri
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Kadri
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
1
Staal
Kadri
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,017)
45.7% (1,295)
+11.3%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
52.7% (146)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (286)
34.8% (23)
+10.3%
On even strength, Staal has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Staal shoots left. Kadri is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,030).
Home / Away
Staal
Kadri
Home
54.3% (667)
46.5% (725)
Away
54.7% (662)
46.0% (739)
By Period
Staal
Kadri
P1
56.2%
47.2%
P2
57.0%
44.9%
P3
49.7%
46.3%
OT
68.4%
51.4%
Final 5 min
48.8%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 03:05 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 02:54 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 19:57 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 19:45 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 09:15 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 08:38 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 07:34 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 03:14 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 11:36 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 08:37 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 06:27 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 12:57 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 12:29 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 10:42 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |