Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (66% H2H, 50 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Kadri 48.7% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 83-58 in 141 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 67.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 92.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 84.4%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 80.8%
80.8%
19.2%
Staal
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
83
-
58
(141 meetings)
83
58
Staal
Kadri
Last 10: Staal 6-4 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
24
28
Staal
Kadri
52 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
33
17
Staal
Kadri
50 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
26
13
Staal
Kadri
39 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
48.2% (12,510)
+7.7%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
53.0% (1,892)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
41.0% (293)
+7.0%
On power play, Staal has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Staal shoots left. Kadri is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,379).
Home / Away
Staal
Kadri
Home
56.4% (9,663)
49.1% (7,467)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
48.1% (7,231)
By Period
Staal
Kadri
P1
55.2%
49.2%
P2
55.9%
48.8%
P3
54.9%
48.0%
OT
56.2%
49.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 3 | 12:04 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 3 | 12:01 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 1 | 03:45 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 2, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 03:05 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 02:54 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 19:57 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 19:45 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 09:15 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 08:38 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 07:34 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 03:14 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 11:36 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 08:37 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 06:27 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 12:57 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 12:29 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 10:42 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 14:02 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |