Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.1% vs Kadri 49.5% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 51.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 88.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 68.8%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 83.5%
83.5%
16.5%
Staal
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Staal
Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Kadri
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Kadri
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (740)
49.4% (688)
+7.8%
Power Play
67.0% (88)
52.2% (67)
+14.8%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (187)
38.5% (13)
+5.4%
On power play, Staal has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Staal is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Staal shoots left. Kadri is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (483).
Home / Away
Staal
Kadri
Home
55.4% (518)
49.1% (407)
Away
55.7% (497)
49.9% (361)
By Period
Staal
Kadri
P1
53.6%
56.4%
P2
56.6%
51.7%
P3
55.7%
41.4%
OT
65.2%
44.4%
Final 5 min
56.8%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.6%
Kadri
48.0%▼
49.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 3 | 12:04 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 3 | 12:01 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 1 | 03:45 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |