Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Kadri 47.6% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 56.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 89.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 74.4%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 86.0%
86.0%
14.0%
Staal
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Staal
Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Kadri
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Kadri
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (955)
47.4% (821)
+8.7%
Power Play
66.9% (142)
48.8% (86)
+18.1%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (242)
38.5% (13)
+4.5%
On power play, Staal has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Staal shoots left. Kadri is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (595).
Home / Away
Staal
Kadri
Home
55.4% (663)
46.6% (487)
Away
54.4% (676)
48.3% (433)
By Period
Staal
Kadri
P1
55.1%
52.7%
P2
54.7%
50.2%
P3
53.9%
40.2%
OT
70.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
57.2%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 3 | 12:04 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 3 | 12:01 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 1 | 03:45 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |