Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Staal wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.8% vs Dowd 53.3% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 89.4%
Defensive zone
Dowd 59.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 63.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 78.8%
78.8%
21.2%
Staal
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Staal
Dowd
Last 7: Staal 6-1 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
5
0
Staal
Dowd
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Staal
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,041)
55.4% (771)
+3.5%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
57.1% (7)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (171)
45.5% (165)
+3.6%
On power play, Dowd has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Staal is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (457).
Staal shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Staal
Dowd
Home
59.0% (578)
58.2% (462)
Away
55.9% (707)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Staal
Dowd
P1
57.1%
55.6%
P2
60.9%
50.5%
P3
55.8%
53.9%
OT
20.8%
75.0%
Final 5 min
60.5%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2022 | 2 | 08:28 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 05:21 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 17:33 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 17:05 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 12:28 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 2 | 19:48 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 1 | 19:23 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |