Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.2% vs Dowd 49.9% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 89.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 61.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 71.8%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 74.9%
74.9%
25.1%
Staal
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Staal
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Dowd
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Staal
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,017)
52.2% (835)
+4.8%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
60.0% (10)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (286)
44.0% (350)
+1.1%
On even strength, Staal has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Staal is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Staal shoots left. Dowd is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Staal
Dowd
Home
54.3% (667)
51.5% (619)
Away
54.7% (662)
48.1% (576)
By Period
Staal
Dowd
P1
56.2%
51.7%
P2
57.0%
51.6%
P3
49.7%
47.0%
OT
68.4%
22.2%
Final 5 min
48.8%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 14:20 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 2 | 08:50 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |