Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.1% vs Paul 51.0% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 62.5%
Defensive zone
Paul 52.4%
Neutral zone
Paul 58.9%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Staal
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Staal
Paul
Last 9: Staal 2-7 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
2
Staal
Paul
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
3
Staal
Paul
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Staal
Paul
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (943)
53.5% (312)
+0.7%
Power Play
69.6% (79)
53.8% (26)
+15.8%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (262)
29.4% (34)
+21.4%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Staal is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Staal shoots left. Paul is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Staal
Paul
Home
55.0% (593)
45.8% (153)
Away
54.0% (691)
55.0% (220)
By Period
Staal
Paul
P1
54.3%
55.9%
P2
53.5%
48.9%
P3
55.2%
50.0%
OT
58.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.4%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.4%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2019 | 3 | 10:17 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 11, 2019 | 3 | 04:58 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 11, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 11, 2019 | 2 | 13:43 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 11, 2019 | 1 | 17:55 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 11, 2019 | 1 | 16:05 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 11, 2019 | 1 | 10:55 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 11, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 2 | 00:41 | Offensive | Nick Paul |