Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.8% vs Paul 50.4% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 78.2%
Defensive zone
Paul 52.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 62.0%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Staal
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Staal
Paul
Last 10: Staal 6-4 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Staal
Paul
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Paul
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Staal
Paul
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,041)
53.0% (644)
+5.9%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
37.5% (24)
+15.9%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (171)
42.9% (177)
+6.2%
On power play, Staal has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Staal shoots left. Paul is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Staal
Paul
Home
59.0% (578)
52.5% (516)
Away
55.9% (707)
47.1% (329)
By Period
Staal
Paul
P1
57.1%
47.6%
P2
60.9%
48.4%
P3
55.8%
54.5%
OT
20.8%
100.0%
Final 5 min
60.5%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2022 | 2 | 08:41 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 15:38 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 3 | 06:02 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 16:31 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 16:38 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 12:43 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 2 | 15:56 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 13:33 | Offensive | Nick Paul |