Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.8% vs Lorentz 47.6% (+11.8%)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 64.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 63.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 51.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Staal
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,041)
46.5% (101)
+12.4%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
33.3% (3)
+20.1%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (171)
37.5% (8)
+11.6%
On power play, Staal has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Staal shoots left. Lorentz is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
Staal
Lorentz
Home
59.0% (578)
49.1% (53)
Away
55.9% (707)
42.4% (59)
By Period
Staal
Lorentz
P1
57.1%
48.6%
P2
60.9%
36.7%
P3
55.8%
57.7%
Final 5 min
60.5%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
45.5%