Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +18.1% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.2% vs Lorentz 46.6% (+18.1%)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 64.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 65.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 53.6%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Staal
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,017)
30.8% (26)
+26.2%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (286)
57.1% (7)
-12.0%
On even strength, Staal has a +26.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Staal shoots left. Lorentz is 36.8% vs left-shot opponents (19).
Home / Away
Staal
Lorentz
Home
54.3% (667)
35.0% (20)
Away
54.7% (662)
38.5% (13)
By Period
Staal
Lorentz
P1
56.2%
38.5%
P2
57.0%
37.5%
P3
49.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
36.4%